Analyzing patterns of persistence in complex systems through thermodynamic principles
This initiative represents the beginning of an interdisciplinary research effort. We are seeking collaborators to help develop these ideas from initial concepts into rigorous scientific frameworks.
No formal organization, funding, or institutional affiliation exists yet. This website serves as a starting point for discussion and collaboration.
This initiative explores three interconnected theoretical frameworks that could transform our understanding of complex systems. Gradient-Coupled Systems Theory (GCST) proposes that all adaptive systems, from cellular processes to global economies, organize themselves around shared energy and information gradients. Building on Nobel Prize-winning work in dissipative structures, GCST extends existing thermodynamic principles by revealing how systems at different scales couple together when competing for or sharing the same resources. This coupling creates the nested hierarchies observed throughout nature and explains phenomena ranging from ecosystem cooperation to market dynamics that traditional theories address only in isolation.
Within GCST lies a crucial mechanism called Dissipative Capital Formation (DCF), which explains how complexity emerges and persists in the universe. DCF proposes that systems strategically invest portions of available energy into building organizational structures rather than maximizing immediate energy dissipation. These accumulated structures function as thermodynamic capital that enhances the system's future capacity to process energy and information. This principle operates across all scales, from organisms that dedicate resources to growth rather than immediate heat release, to economies that invest in infrastructure rather than pure consumption. DCF provides a selection principle explaining which structures persist in nature and why the universe tends toward increasing complexity despite the second law of thermodynamics.
Creordics emerges as an analytical framework that applies these physical principles to understanding decision patterns in human systems. By analyzing actions based on their effects on gradient dissipation and capital formation across all connected systems, Creordics offers a framework for understanding which patterns tend to persist within thermodynamic constraints. The framework enables analysis of decision patterns across multiple scales and timeframes, revealing correlations between certain choices and systemic persistence or degradation. While these concepts remain speculative and require rigorous development, they offer the possibility of understanding human civilization through the same fundamental organizing principles that govern all complex systems in the universe.
A personal invitation from the creator explaining why humanity needs new decision-making frameworks and inviting diverse perspectives to strengthen the initiative.
Comprehensive review of empirical principles from thermodynamics, neuroscience, evolutionary biology, and complex systems science that demonstrate universal patterns of organization across scales.
An accessible introduction to how GCST reveals nature's universal organizational principles, with relatable examples showing how these insights apply to everyday life.
Introduces GCST as a framework explaining how systems organize around shared energy gradients, outlining research opportunities and calling for international collaboration.
Presents Creordics as an ethical framework grounded in physical law, evaluating actions based on their effects on gradient dissipation across interconnected systems.
Seven foundational axioms that establish the logical structure of Creordics, grounding ethical decision-making in thermodynamic principles.
A five-step framework for analyzing decisions through the lens of gradient dissipation and capital formation, helping individuals and organizations evaluate choices based on their effects across interconnected systems and timeframes.
We envision The Creordic Institute as a pioneering interdisciplinary research organization dedicated to developing and disseminating Gradient-Coupled Systems Theory and its analytical applications. Through rigorous scientific investigation, careful philosophical exploration, and accessible public engagement, the Institute would advance understanding of how complex systems organize and persist according to thermodynamic principles.
The Institute's Division of Science would establish empirical foundations for GCST through mathematical formalization, experimental validation, and cross-disciplinary synthesis. Researchers would develop quantitative tools for measuring gradient flows, coupling strengths, and system dynamics across domains from molecular biology to global economics. This rigorous scientific work would provide the evidence base necessary for GCST to mature from promising framework to validated theory.
The Division of Philosophy would explore the implications of understanding human systems through thermodynamic principles. As researchers analyze decision patterns through the lens of gradient dissipation and system coupling, philosophers would examine what these analytical tools reveal about human behavior, social organization, and the relationship between physical law and human experience. They would address questions about how descriptive understanding of persistence patterns relates to normative considerations while ensuring the framework develops with appropriate nuance.
The Division of Dissemination would translate complex scientific insights into analytical tools and accessible knowledge for global audiences. Through educational programs, decision-analysis systems, and public communication, this division would ensure that understanding of thermodynamic principles enhances analytical capacity across all communities. As people gain tools to analyze how actions affect interconnected systems, humanity develops unprecedented capacity to understand the long-term implications of different choices. The goal is widespread understanding of how complex systems organize according to physical principles, enabling more informed analysis of decisions at all scales.
The theoretical frameworks of GCST and Creordics offer novel analytical approaches to humanity's most pressing challenges by revealing their underlying thermodynamic structure. Understanding these phenomena through the lens of gradient dissipation and system coupling provides insights into why certain patterns persist while others lead to degradation.
Climate change emerges through GCST analysis as humanity's disruption of planetary-scale gradient structures that took millions of years to establish. By rapidly releasing stored carbon gradients, human systems alter the dissipative patterns that Earth systems depend upon. The framework reveals that incremental approaches show limited effectiveness because they don't address the coupling dynamics between human economic systems and planetary energy flows. Analysis through Creordics reveals which climate response patterns correlate with restored sustainable gradient dissipation versus those that merely shift problems to different scales or timeframes. This perspective suggests that patterns demonstrating long-term viability involve rebuilding dissipative capital at geological scales while transforming human systems to operate within planetary gradient constraints.
Extreme wealth concentration manifests through GCST as a concentration of gradient access that correlates with reduced total system dissipative capacity. When economic systems exhibit excessive gradient accumulation in few nodes while restricting access for the majority, they create patterns associated with reduced resource flow and value creation throughout the network. This concentration represents a configuration where potential gradients remain locked rather than driving productive activity. GCST analysis reveals that extreme inequality correlates with reduced thermodynamic efficiency by preventing human potential from accessing gradients necessary for productive contribution. Analysis suggests that economic systems demonstrating long-term persistence exhibit patterns similar to healthy ecosystems, where resources flow through multiple pathways and nodes maintain sufficient gradient access to contribute to collective dissipation. This framework reveals correlations between wealth distribution patterns and total system productivity.
Coordinated disinformation represents patterns in information gradient management that correlate with systemic inefficiency. When false information creates artificial gradients that drive behavior, systems dissipate energy pursuing suboptimal configurations. Misinformation acts as thermodynamic pollution, causing systems to expend resources on reorganization that reduces rather than enhances capacity. GCST analysis reveals that patterns of information management demonstrating persistence involve accurate gradient representation, enabling systems to channel collective energy toward genuine challenges rather than manufactured crises. The framework provides tools for analyzing which information distribution patterns correlate with enhanced versus degraded collective capacity.
Accelerating AI power presents analytical challenges as artificial systems gain capacity to process information gradients at unprecedented scales and speeds. GCST enables understanding of AI systems as gradient-dissipating structures whose coupling with human systems exhibits various possible configurations. Analysis reveals patterns where AI-human coupling enhances collective capacity versus those that diminish human agency and gradient-processing functions. Creordics offers analytical tools for evaluating AI development patterns based on their effects on collective dissipative capacity across human-AI coupled systems. This framework enables analysis of which design patterns correlate with AI functioning as dissipative capital that amplifies human capabilities versus patterns associated with reduced human system viability.
School shootings can be analyzed through GCST as catastrophic manifestations of gradient-coupling failures between individuals and their communities. These events correlate with patterns where individuals become decoupled from healthy gradient-dissipation pathways—meaningful relationships, purposeful activities, and constructive outlets—while simultaneously coupling to information gradients that amplify alienation. The phenomenon reveals patterns where social systems fail to maintain coupling strength necessary for individual wellbeing, creating isolated nodes where gradients accumulate to dangerous levels. Analysis through Creordics reveals that prevention patterns demonstrating effectiveness involve rebuilding social infrastructure that maintains thermodynamically healthy connections between individuals and larger social systems. This framework enables analysis of which social configurations correlate with healthy gradient dissipation versus dangerous accumulation patterns.
These examples illustrate how GCST and Creordics provide analytical tools for understanding complex challenges through thermodynamic principles. By analyzing phenomena through gradient dissipation and system coupling, researchers gain insights into underlying patterns and can identify which configurations tend to persist versus degrade. This analytical approach reveals structural dynamics that traditional frameworks might miss, enabling more comprehensive understanding of complex global challenges.
The development of Gradient-Coupled Systems Theory and Creordics requires diverse expertise and perspectives from across the global research community. We seek collaborators who recognize the potential for a unified understanding of complex systems and are prepared to contribute rigorous thinking to this interdisciplinary endeavor. Participation at this foundational stage offers the opportunity to shape a theoretical framework that could fundamentally alter how humanity analyzes and understands complex systems at every scale.
Researchers from any discipline who observe gradient-based organization in their work are encouraged to explore whether GCST provides explanatory power for their phenomena. Mathematical physicists and applied mathematicians can contribute by developing formal models of coupling dynamics between dissipative structures. Complex systems researchers might investigate how gradient access patterns manifest in their domains of study. Philosophers can examine the implications of understanding human behavior through thermodynamic principles. Social scientists could explore how human institutions reflect gradient-coupling dynamics. Engineers and designers might prototype applications that leverage these analytical insights.
Initial engagement should begin with a thorough review of the foundational documents provided above, which outline the theoretical framework, identify key research questions, and explore analytical applications. After familiarizing yourself with these materials, we welcome correspondence that identifies specific areas where your expertise could advance the framework's development. Contributions might range from theoretical refinements and mathematical formalization to empirical studies and practical applications. The immediate objective is establishing a working group of committed researchers who can assess the framework's validity and determine appropriate methodologies for its development.
Ready to contribute?
ethan@ethanjon.net